2023 Week 10 · Oct 31, 2023, 11:00 PM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreToss-up

Northern Illinois

30.4

Central Michigan

27.7

Central Michigan win probability: 43%

Margin (Central Michigan − Northern Illinois): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: Northern Illinois 31 – Central Michigan 37 (margin error 8.7, total error 9.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.