2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 7:30 PM · Huskie Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreLikely
Eastern Michigan
20.1
Northern Illinois
30.4
Northern Illinois win probability: 74%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Eastern Michigan): 10.3 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Eastern Michigan 13 – Northern Illinois 20 (margin error 3.3, total error 17.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.