2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 11:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Northern Illinois @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreLikely

Northern Illinois

22.7

Nebraska

32.8

Nebraska win probability: 73%

Margin (Nebraska − Northern Illinois): 10.1 (80% range -11 to 31)

Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Northern Illinois 11 – Nebraska 35 (margin error 13.9, total error 9.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.