Northern Illinois
Mountain West
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Iowa | 33–7 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Utah | 17–6 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Central Michigan | 16–24 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Florida State | 37–19 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Eastern Michigan | 23–26 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Ball State | 16–24 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Ohio | 21–24 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ BYU | 6–7 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Akron | 26–36 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Toledo | 15–38 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Miami (OH) | 13–7 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Western Michigan | 28–21 | — | — |
| Week 14 | @ Buffalo | 29–30 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs UAB | 37–13 | — | — |