2023 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2023, 12:00 AM · Huskie Stadium

Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Michigan

26.9

Northern Illinois

29.8

Northern Illinois win probability: 57%

Margin (Northern Illinois − Western Michigan): 2.9 (80% range -18 to 24)

Total: 56.7 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Western Michigan 0 – Northern Illinois 24 (margin error 21.1, total error 32.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.