2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 4:00 PM · Huskie Stadium
Massachusetts @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreLikely
Massachusetts
19.0
Northern Illinois
35.6
Northern Illinois win probability: 85%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Massachusetts): 16.6 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Massachusetts 20 – Northern Illinois 34 (margin error 2.6, total error 0.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 28 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.