2024 Week 12 · Nov 14, 2024, 12:00 AM · Huskie Stadium
Akron @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreLikely
Akron
18.7
Northern Illinois
30.8
Northern Illinois win probability: 78%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Akron): 12.1 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Akron 16 – Northern Illinois 29 (margin error 0.9, total error 4.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.