2025 Week 13 · Nov 19, 2025, 12:00 AM · Huskie Stadium

Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Michigan

25.0

Northern Illinois

21.9

Northern Illinois win probability: 42%

Margin (Northern Illinois − Western Michigan): -3.1 (80% range -23 to 17)

Total: 47.0 (80% range 25 to 69)

Actual: Western Michigan 35 – Northern Illinois 19 (margin error 12.9, total error 7.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.