2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · Huskie Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami (OH)
22.7
Northern Illinois
23.6
Northern Illinois win probability: 52%
Margin (Northern Illinois − Miami (OH)): 0.9 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 46.3 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Miami (OH) 25 – Northern Illinois 14 (margin error 11.9, total error 7.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.