2025 Week 2 · Sep 5, 2025, 11:30 PM · SECU Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Maryland
Predicted scoreLikely
Northern Illinois
20.3
Maryland
29.8
Maryland win probability: 72%
Margin (Maryland − Northern Illinois): 9.4 (80% range -11 to 30)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Northern Illinois 9 – Maryland 20 (margin error 1.6, total error 21.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.