2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 5:00 PM · Rynearson Stadium

Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan

Predicted scoreToss-up

Northern Illinois

28.8

Eastern Michigan

25.9

Eastern Michigan win probability: 43%

Margin (Eastern Michigan − Northern Illinois): -2.9 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Northern Illinois 10 – Eastern Michigan 16 (margin error 8.9, total error 28.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.