2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Huskie Stadium
UTEP @ Northern Illinois
Predicted scoreToss-up
UTEP
21.3
Northern Illinois
24.9
Northern Illinois win probability: 59%
Margin (Northern Illinois − UTEP): 3.6 (80% range -16 to 24)
Total: 46.2 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:06 PM | 3.6 | 46.1 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:05 PM | 3.6 | 46.1 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:18 PM | 3.6 | 46.2 | 59% |