2026 Week 3 · Sep 20, 2026, 2:30 AM · Arizona Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Arizona
Predicted scoreConfident
Northern Illinois
15.1
Arizona
36.6
Arizona win probability: 92%
Margin (Arizona − Northern Illinois): 21.6 (80% range 1 to 42)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 30 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:31 PM | 21.7 | 51.7 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:48 PM | 21.6 | 51.7 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:32 PM | 21.6 | 51.7 | 92% |