2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 9:00 PM · Fargodome

Northern Illinois @ North Dakota State

Predicted scoreLikely

Northern Illinois

20.5

North Dakota State

32.6

North Dakota State win probability: 75%

Margin (North Dakota State − Northern Illinois): 12.0 (80% range -10 to 35)

Total: 53.1 (80% range 33 to 75)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.