2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 7:30 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Ohio @ Bowling Green
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio
28.6
Bowling Green
20.8
Bowling Green win probability: 31%
Margin (Bowling Green − Ohio): -7.8 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Ohio 38 – Bowling Green 7 (margin error 23.2, total error 4.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.