2023 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2023, 12:00 AM · Peden Stadium
Central Michigan @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLikely
Central Michigan
21.9
Ohio
32.2
Ohio win probability: 74%
Margin (Ohio − Central Michigan): 10.3 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Central Michigan 20 – Ohio 34 (margin error 3.7, total error 0.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.