Ohio
Mid-American
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Rutgers | 34–31 | 29.5–24.1 | 2.4 |
| Week 2 | vs West Virginia | 10–17 | 29.3–29.5 | 6.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Ohio State | 37–9 | 37.0–14.1 | 5.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Bowling Green | 20–35 | 20.2–31.0 | 4.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Ball State | 20–14 | 18.8–34.6 | 21.8 |
| Week 8 | vs Northern Illinois | 21–48 | 18.5–28.4 | 17.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Eastern Michigan | 21–28 | 23.2–32.8 | 2.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Miami (OH) | 20–24 | 21.4–28.7 | 3.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Western Michigan | 17–13 | 22.3–26.2 | 8.0 |
| Week 13 | vs Massachusetts | 14–42 | 14.5–38.4 | 4.1 |
| Week 14 | @ Buffalo | 26–31 | 20.2–29.9 | 4.8 |
| Week 1 | vs UNLV | 10–17 | 25.5–24.4 | 8.1 |