Predicted scoreLean
Ohio
24.1
Rutgers
29.5
Rutgers win probability: 63%
Margin (Rutgers − Ohio): 5.4 (80% range -14 to 26)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: Ohio 31 – Rutgers 34 (margin error 2.4, total error 11.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.