2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 11:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Ohio @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Ohio
14.1
Ohio State
37.0
Ohio State win probability: 93%
Margin (Ohio State − Ohio): 22.9 (80% range 3 to 43)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Ohio 9 – Ohio State 37 (margin error 5.1, total error 5.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.