2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 4:00 PM · Peden Stadium
Bowling Green @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLikely
Bowling Green
20.2
Ohio
31.0
Ohio win probability: 75%
Margin (Ohio − Bowling Green): 10.8 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Bowling Green 20 – Ohio 35 (margin error 4.2, total error 3.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.