2025 Week 12 · Nov 12, 2025, 1:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Ohio @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio
26.2
Western Michigan
22.3
Western Michigan win probability: 40%
Margin (Western Michigan − Ohio): -4.0 (80% range -24 to 16)
Total: 48.5 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Ohio 13 – Western Michigan 17 (margin error 8.0, total error 18.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.