2025 Week 11 · Nov 5, 2025, 12:00 AM · Peden Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLean
Miami (OH)
21.4
Ohio
28.7
Ohio win probability: 68%
Margin (Ohio − Miami (OH)): 7.2 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Miami (OH) 20 – Ohio 24 (margin error 3.2, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.