Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio
29.9
Buffalo
20.2
Buffalo win probability: 26%
Margin (Buffalo − Ohio): -9.8 (80% range -29 to 10)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Ohio 31 – Buffalo 26 (margin error 4.8, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.