2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 10:00 PM · Peden Stadium
Jacksonville State @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLean
Jacksonville State
22.9
Ohio
29.7
Ohio win probability: 67%
Margin (Ohio − Jacksonville State): 6.8 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:25 PM | 6.6 | 52.6 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:30 PM | 6.6 | 52.7 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:39 PM | 6.8 | 52.7 | 67% |