2026 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2026, 5:00 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Sacramento State @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreLean

Sacramento State

30.6

Central Michigan

24.1

Central Michigan win probability: 36%

Margin (Central Michigan − Sacramento State): -6.5 (80% range -29 to 16)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 34 to 77)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.