Sacramento State

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Ball State	35.5–18.4	14%
Week 9	vs Kent State	28.4–18.5	25%
Week 10	vs Toledo	38.3–12.2	5%
Week 11	@ Central Michigan	37.0–14.1	7%
Week 13	@ Hawai'i	37.1–12.9	5%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Eastern Michigan	28–17	—	—
Week 1	vs Mississippi Valley State	0–52	—	—
Week 2	@ Fresno State	49–3	29.5–14.4	30.9
Week 3	vs North Dakota State	31–10	34.6–12.4	1.1
Week 4	vs Massachusetts	35–6	27.6–25.0	26.4
Week 6	@ Bowling Green	38–10	30.9–15.1	12.2
Week 7	vs Ohio	48–7	34.2–14.8	21.6