2026 Week 2 · Sep 13, 2026, 2:30 AM · Valley Children's Stadium

Sacramento State @ Fresno State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Sacramento State

23.4

Fresno State

26.0

Fresno State win probability: 56%

Margin (Fresno State − Sacramento State): 2.6 (80% range -19 to 24)

Total: 49.4 (80% range 30 to 71)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.