2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:00 AM · Hornet Stadium

Massachusetts @ Sacramento State

Predicted scoreConfident

Massachusetts

15.1

Sacramento State

39.0

Sacramento State win probability: 92%

Margin (Sacramento State − Massachusetts): 23.9 (80% range 2 to 46)

Total: 54.1 (80% range 33 to 76)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.