2026 Week 3 · Sep 20, 2026, 2:30 AM · Hornet Stadium

North Dakota State @ Sacramento State

Predicted scoreToss-up

North Dakota State

25.7

Sacramento State

28.7

Sacramento State win probability: 57%

Margin (Sacramento State − North Dakota State): 3.0 (80% range -20 to 25)

Total: 54.4 (80% range 34 to 76)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.