2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Scheumann Stadium

Sacramento State @ Ball State

Predicted scoreLikely

Sacramento State

32.5

Ball State

20.5

Ball State win probability: 25%

Margin (Ball State − Sacramento State): -12.0 (80% range -35 to 10)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 33 to 75)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.