Ball State

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Sacramento State	18.4–35.5	86%
Week 10	@ Massachusetts	29.0–24.2	38%
Week 11	vs Buffalo	28.8–24.6	39%
Week 12	@ Ohio	34.3–19.9	18%
Week 13	vs Central Michigan	30.1–25.7	40%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Ohio State	56–3	45.1–4.1	12.0
Week 2	vs Stony Brook	17–41	—	—
Week 3	@ Liberty	51–15	32.7–19.6	22.9
Week 4	@ Kent State	26–13	25.3–27.1	14.8
Week 5	vs Toledo	39–24	36.3–15.2	6.1
Week 6	@ Northwestern	45–14	43.4–9.5	2.8
Week 7	@ Bowling Green	31–32	27.6–23.9	4.7