Ball State
Mid-American
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Tennessee | 59–10 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Western Michigan | 37–30 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Georgia Southern | 34–23 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Northern Illinois | 38–44 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Central Michigan | 16–17 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs UConn | 21–25 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Eastern Michigan | 20–16 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Kent State | 20–27 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Toledo | 28–21 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Ohio | 32–18 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Miami (OH) | 18–17 | — | — |