Ball State
Mid-American
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Notre Dame | 24–16 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Indiana | 38–10 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Western Kentucky | 28–20 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Kent State | 24–52 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Northern Illinois | 24–16 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Central Michigan | 23–24 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Eastern Michigan | 42–20 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Ohio | 52–14 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Toledo | 45–13 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Western Michigan | 41–42 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Miami (OH) | 42–21 | — | — |