Ball State
Mid-American
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Georgia State | 21–31 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ Indiana | 30–20 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Florida Atlantic | 27–31 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Northern Illinois | 31–24 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Central Michigan | 24–21 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Buffalo | 21–31 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Akron | 35–25 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Western Michigan | 52–20 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Eastern Michigan | 48–41 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Toledo | 37–19 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Miami (OH) | 21–20 | — | — |