Ball State
Mid-American
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | @ Miami | 62–0 | 38.9–16.5 | 39.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Central Michigan | 37–34 | 28.2–25.5 | 0.3 |
| Week 5 | @ James Madison | 63–7 | 38.5–18.0 | 35.5 |
| Week 6 | vs Western Michigan | 45–42 | 32.4–24.0 | 5.4 |
| Week 7 | @ Kent State | 35–37 | 28.3–30.3 | 0.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Vanderbilt | 24–14 | 41.8–18.4 | 13.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Northern Illinois | 23–25 | 31.8–20.2 | 13.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Miami (OH) | 27–21 | 34.8–19.0 | 9.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Buffalo | 51–48 | 29.1–23.7 | 2.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Bowling Green | 38–13 | 31.2–23.0 | 16.8 |
| Week 14 | @ Ohio | 42–21 | 33.4–21.3 | 8.9 |