2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 11:00 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Ball State @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreConfident
Ball State
18.4
Vanderbilt
41.8
Vanderbilt win probability: 92%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Ball State): 23.4 (80% range 3 to 45)
Total: 60.2 (80% range 37 to 86)
Actual: Ball State 14 – Vanderbilt 24 (margin error 13.4, total error 22.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 45 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.