2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 5:30 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium
Ball State @ James Madison
Predicted scoreConfident
Ball State
18.0
James Madison
38.5
James Madison win probability: 90%
Margin (James Madison − Ball State): 20.5 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 34 to 81)
Actual: Ball State 7 – James Madison 63 (margin error 35.5, total error 13.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.