2024 Week 11 · Nov 6, 2024, 1:00 AM · Scheumann Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Ball State
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami (OH)
34.8
Ball State
19.0
Ball State win probability: 16%
Margin (Ball State − Miami (OH)): -15.8 (80% range -36 to 4)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Miami (OH) 27 – Ball State 21 (margin error 9.8, total error 5.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.