2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 7:00 PM · Scheumann Stadium
Bowling Green @ Ball State
Predicted scoreLean
Bowling Green
31.2
Ball State
23.0
Ball State win probability: 31%
Margin (Ball State − Bowling Green): -8.2 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Bowling Green 38 – Ball State 13 (margin error 16.8, total error 3.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.