2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 6:00 PM · Scheumann Stadium
Western Michigan @ Ball State
Predicted scoreLean
Western Michigan
32.4
Ball State
24.0
Ball State win probability: 31%
Margin (Ball State − Western Michigan): -8.4 (80% range -29 to 13)
Total: 56.4 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Western Michigan 45 – Ball State 42 (margin error 5.4, total error 30.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.