2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 7:30 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
Ball State @ Miami
Predicted scoreConfident
Ball State
16.5
Miami
38.9
Miami win probability: 92%
Margin (Miami − Ball State): 22.3 (80% range 1 to 43)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Ball State 0 – Miami 62 (margin error 39.7, total error 6.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.