2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 5:00 PM · Peden Stadium
Ball State @ Ohio
Predicted scoreLikely
Ball State
21.3
Ohio
33.4
Ohio win probability: 78%
Margin (Ohio − Ball State): 12.1 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Ball State 21 – Ohio 42 (margin error 8.9, total error 8.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.