2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 4:00 PM · Dix Stadium
Ball State @ Kent State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Ball State
30.3
Kent State
28.3
Kent State win probability: 45%
Margin (Kent State − Ball State): -2.0 (80% range -23 to 19)
Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Ball State 37 – Kent State 35 (margin error 0.0, total error 13.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.