Ball State
Mid-American
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Penn State | 44–13 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Wyoming | 45–12 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Toledo | 22–12 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Army | 16–28 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Western Michigan | 20–45 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Eastern Michigan | 31–38 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Miami (OH) | 24–17 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Akron | 25–31 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Northern Illinois | 30–29 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Central Michigan | 37–17 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Buffalo | 3–20 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Georgia State | 51–20 | — | — |