2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 2:30 AM · Hornet Stadium
Kent State @ Sacramento State
Predicted scoreLikely
Kent State
28.4
Sacramento State
18.5
Sacramento State win probability: 25%
Margin (Sacramento State − Kent State): -9.9 (80% range -29 to 10)
Total: 46.9 (80% range 26 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.92% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.85% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:07 PM | 19.1 | 55.2 | 86% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:27 AM | 19.1 | 55.2 | 86% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:31 PM | 19.0 | 55.2 | 86% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:43 PM | 19.0 | 55.7 | 86% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:48 PM | 6.7 | 45.7 | 67% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:00 PM | -1.6 | 53.3 | 46% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:57 PM | -1.5 | 53.2 | 46% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:53 AM | -1.2 | 53.2 | 47% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:22 PM | -1.2 | 53.2 | 47% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:22 PM | -6.7 | 49.1 | 34% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:15 PM | -7.0 | 45.2 | 32% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:31 PM | -6.9 | 47.4 | 33% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:31 PM | -9.9 | 46.9 | 25% |