2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Sacramento State @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreLean

Sacramento State

29.2

Bowling Green

22.4

Bowling Green win probability: 35%

Margin (Bowling Green − Sacramento State): -6.8 (80% range -29 to 15)

Total: 51.5 (80% range 31 to 73)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.