Sam's Scores

Sacramento State

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts
WeekOpponentPredicted scoreWin prob
Week 2@ Fresno State26.0–23.444%
Week 3vs North Dakota State25.7–28.757%
Week 4vs Massachusetts15.1–39.092%
Week 6@ Bowling Green22.4–29.265%
Week 7vs Ohio25.0–30.161%
Week 8@ Ball State20.5–32.575%
Week 9vs Kent State18.1–37.286%
Week 10vs Toledo25.7–26.051%
Week 11@ Central Michigan24.1–30.664%
Week 13@ Hawai'i27.5–27.149%
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
WeekOpponentActualPredictedMargin error
Week 1@ Eastern Michigan28–17