2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 7:30 PM · Glass Bowl
Miami (OH) @ Toledo
Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami (OH)
23.9
Toledo
25.9
Toledo win probability: 55%
Margin (Toledo − Miami (OH)): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Miami (OH) 20 – Toledo 30 (margin error 8.0, total error 0.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.