Predicted scoreLikely
Toledo
31.3
Akron
20.6
Akron win probability: 25%
Margin (Akron − Toledo): -10.6 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Toledo 14 – Akron 21 (margin error 17.6, total error 16.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.