2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 4:00 PM · Rynearson Stadium
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Toledo
30.0
Eastern Michigan
22.2
Eastern Michigan win probability: 31%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Toledo): -7.8 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Toledo 29 – Eastern Michigan 28 (margin error 6.8, total error 4.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.